Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 55.388243 63.300982 71.432347 80.378024 89.909690 99.731017 110.584932
2026-01-04 44.218801 55.587186 67.839218 81.880331 97.392364 113.885505 132.631589
2026-01-11 36.474562 49.540433 64.156487 81.417426 100.973227 122.204623 146.773102
2026-01-18 30.554213 44.703693 61.090658 80.963462 103.964479 129.367049 159.185233
2026-01-25 26.324106 41.303521 59.209250 81.431205 107.616443 136.941999 171.759343
2026-02-01 22.280354 37.659610 56.653998 80.771121 109.680902 142.481685 181.832630
2026-02-08 19.136448 34.813525 54.791662 80.694490 112.221998 148.399696 192.189616
2026-02-15 16.098176 31.767061 52.415922 79.769592 113.572589 152.791511 200.669354
2026-02-22 14.258059 30.185528 51.773762 80.870608 117.258525 159.836184 212.151866
2026-03-01 12.767901 28.945254 51.463309 82.296416 121.267851 167.209840 223.977814
2026-03-08 10.664950 26.526913 49.389753 81.324634 122.220572 170.868804 231.387059
2026-03-15 8.623975 23.929558 46.879171 79.632731 122.158461 173.219465 237.176819
2026-03-22 8.151199 23.929683 48.058795 82.853881 128.323893 183.157050 252.056474
2026-03-29 7.312800 23.187344 48.107307 84.526926 132.514173 190.699735 264.101196
2026-04-05 6.048886 21.479457 46.616570 84.029450 133.871345 194.742077 271.928489
2026-04-12 4.957073 19.907971 45.216813 83.572268 135.217787 198.725908 279.650749
2026-04-19 4.186879 18.849952 44.529182 84.047391 137.732086 204.120593 289.052167
2026-04-26 3.314430 17.375442 43.079430 83.375820 138.694485 207.555139 296.055315
2026-05-03 2.657943 16.237497 42.088185 83.297806 140.395735 211.879601 304.116649
2026-05-10 1.982970 14.833853 40.549966 82.356517 140.898802 214.667629 310.278054
2026-05-17 1.654176 14.294062 40.439953 83.477041 144.141130 220.889074 320.631730
2026-05-24 1.400831 13.906622 40.565182 84.927935 147.818604 227.656431 331.656300
2026-05-31 0.960122 12.672816 39.095729 83.939076 148.155394 230.165861 337.428488